Combat Edge Intelligence

Pavel Gordeev vs Ignacio Bahamondes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record17-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71" Reach75"
157 lbsWeight156 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pavel GordeevNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Ignacio BahamondesNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.99
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Pavel GordeevIgnacio Bahamondes
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (8%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
6 (25%)
Submission
2 (12%)
16 (67%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Pavel Gordeev70%
Ignacio Bahamondes 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Gordeev a 70% favorite over Ignacio Bahamondes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1691), separated by just 0 points.

Pavel Gordeev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ignacio Bahamondes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pavel Gordeev finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Ignacio Bahamondes 76%.

Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.