Pavel Gordeev vs Magomed Zaynukov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record9-0-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
71" Reach68"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
If they win+24→ 1716
If they lose-24→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pavel GordeevMagomed Zaynukov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pavel Gordeev62%
Magomed Zaynukov 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Gordeev a 62% favorite over Magomed Zaynukov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1692), separated by just 0 points.
Pavel Gordeev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Magomed Zaynukov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Pavel Gordeev finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Zaynukov 56%.
Pavel Gordeev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.