Model win probabilities for every bout on CFFC 160: Kostyuchenko vs Veal (September 4, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Sebastian Quevedo won
51%Sebastian Quevedo49%Kaelob Alger
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 54% / 47%
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