Pavel Gordeev vs Roman Bogatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record13-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71" Reach39,0"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1771 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBoets MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pavel GordeevRoman Bogatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pavel Gordeev69%
Roman Bogatov 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Gordeev a 69% favorite over Roman Bogatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roman Bogatov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1702 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.
Pavel Gordeev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pavel Gordeev finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Roman Bogatov 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.