Rony Henrique vs Alex Apodaca
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-16-1Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-Reach71.5"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Cerrado MMA· avg 1632 EloTeamTiger Beetle Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-12→ 1544
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rony HenriqueAlex Apodaca
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Apodaca52%
Rony Henrique 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 52% favorite over Rony Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rony Henrique's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.
Alex Apodaca enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Alex Apodaca 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.