CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 1

Main eventAnthony Wint def. Matt Adamsby TKO · 5 results recordedFull result →

DateTuesday, August 11, 20268:00 PM EST

VenueMeta APEXLas Vegas, Nevada

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+How to watch

See the picks Predictions & odds

Event command center

Card at a glance

All 5 recorded outcomes are in

Complete

Frozen model coverage5/5 boutsEvery tracked bout has a pre-fight model snapshot.

Strongest model leanJon Kunneman · 66%Jon Kunneman vs Joseph Kropschot

Closest matchupFabrizio Escarrega · 58%Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega

Model vs Elo2 disagreements3 of 5 comparable forecasts pick the same side as Elo alone.

Review results and Elo movement

Recorded results vs forecast

How the card compared with expectations

Elo +2 vs model

Combat Edge model2-340% accuracy

Elo-only baseline4-180% accuracy

Biggest model surpriseJoseph Kropschot wonThe frozen model gave the winner 34% against Jon Kunneman.

On 2 split calls, the model led 0-2.

See all 5 graded bouts

Model hitMatt Adams vs Anthony WintPicked Anthony Wint · 60%Winner: Anthony Wint · Elo hit Model missAbe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio EscarregaPicked Fabrizio Escarrega · 58%Winner: Abe Alsaghir · Elo hit Model hitBilal Hasan vs Mridul SaikiaPicked Bilal Hasan · 59%Winner: Bilal Hasan · Elo hit Model missAnanias Mulumba vs Tom PagliaruloPicked Ananias Mulumba · 59%Winner: Tom Pagliarulo · Elo hit Model missJon Kunneman vs Joseph KropschotPicked Jon Kunneman · 66%Winner: Joseph Kropschot · Elo miss

Event status

Complete

Event progress

All 5 recorded outcomes are in. Final fight details and published Elo changes stay together here.

View predictions & model How Combat Edge Elo works

Published rating impact

Elo movement from this event

5 matched bouts

Bilal Hasan vs Mridul Saikia

Bilal Hasan1669 → 1697+27

Mridul Saikia1649 → 1631-18

Matt Adams vs Anthony Wint

Matt Adams1582 → 1558-24

Anthony Wint1637 → 1661+24

Jon Kunneman vs Joseph Kropschot

Jon Kunneman1695 → 1675-21

Joseph Kropschot1594 → 1615+21

Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega

Abe Alsaghir1665 → 1685+19

Fabrizio Escarrega1646 → 1633-13

Ananias Mulumba vs Tom Pagliarulo

Ananias Mulumba1644 → 1625-19

Tom Pagliarulo1650 → 1669+19

CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 1 is a completed MMA event scheduled for Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight card includes 5 tracked fights, led by Matt Adams vs Anthony Wint, with bout links, fighter profiles, results, and Combat Edge stats. Main event result: Anthony Wint def. Matt Adams by TKO.