Matt Adams6-3-0
Anthony Wint8-0-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Anthony Wint won
40%Matt Adams60%Anthony Wint
Combat Edge Model · Full card
CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 1 predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 1 (August 11, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
5Total bouts
5Frozen forecasts
0Close matchups
2Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 5 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Abe Alsaghir9-0-0
Fabrizio Escarrega9-2-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Abe Alsaghir won
42%Abe Alsaghir58%Fabrizio Escarrega
Bilal Hasan10-0-0
Mridul Saikia9-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Bilal Hasan won
59%Bilal Hasan41%Mridul Saikia
Ananias Mulumba10-4-0
Tom Pagliarulo11-2-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Tom Pagliarulo won
59%Ananias Mulumba41%Tom Pagliarulo
Jon Kunneman10-1-0
Joseph Kropschot9-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Joseph Kropschot won
66%Jon Kunneman34%Joseph Kropschot