Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Augusto Mendes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record6-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach36,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamSoul Fighters BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Augusto MendesNow 1563
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.91
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueAugusto Mendes
140015001600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
3 (13%)
Submission
4 (67%)
8 (35%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Rony Henrique78%
Augusto Mendes 22%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rony Henrique a 78% favorite over Augusto Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Augusto Mendes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1563), separated by just 4 points.

Augusto Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Augusto Mendes 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.