Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Drako Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-Reach69,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamOne Combat Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Drako RodriguezNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.93
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueDrako Rodriguez
1400150016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
3 (13%)
Submission
4 (57%)
8 (35%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rony Henrique60%
Drako Rodriguez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rony Henrique a 60% favorite over Drako Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1557), separated by just 2 points.

Drako Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Drako Rodriguez 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.