Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Edwin Figueroa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamMohler MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1556
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-12→ 1544
Edwin FigueroaNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
37%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueEdwin Figueroa
14001450150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
3 (13%)
Submission
2 (22%)
8 (35%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Rony Henrique62%
Edwin Figueroa 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rony Henrique a 62% favorite over Edwin Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.

Edwin Figueroa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Edwin Figueroa 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.