Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Leonardo Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight146 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGladiadores MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1556
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-12→ 1544
Leonardo MoralesNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueLeonardo Morales
140014501500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (13%)
Submission
4 (29%)
8 (35%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rony Henrique53%
Leonardo Morales 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rony Henrique a 53% favorite over Leonardo Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Morales's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1562), separated by just 6 points.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Morales 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.