Rony Henrique vs Marcus Kowal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-16-1Record5-1-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamWerdum Combat Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-12→ 1544
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rony HenriqueMarcus Kowal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus Kowal59%
Rony Henrique 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Kowal a 59% favorite over Rony Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1558), separated by just 2 points.
Marcus Kowal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Kowal 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.