Rony Henrique vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-16-1Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rony HenriqueRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Costa55%
Rony Henrique 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Costa a 55% favorite over Rony Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rony Henrique's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1560), separated by just 0 points.
Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.