Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Ronald Carillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record4-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight132 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1556
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-12→ 1544
Ronald CarilloNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueRonald Carillo
14001450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
3 (13%)
Submission
3 (75%)
8 (35%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rony Henrique and Ronald Carillo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Carillo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.