Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Trevin Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record14-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamVida Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1556
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-12→ 1544
Trevin JonesNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueTrevin Jones
14001500160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
3 (13%)
Submission
4 (29%)
8 (35%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rony Henrique60%
Trevin Jones 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rony Henrique a 60% favorite over Trevin Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevin Jones's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1559), separated by just 3 points.

Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.