Tom Wright vs Nelson Rojas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Predators MMATeamTeam Weichafe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tom WrightNelson Rojas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Tom Wright and Nelson Rojas within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1533), separated by just 4 points.
Tom Wright enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tom Wright finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nelson Rojas 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.