Model win probabilities for every bout on LFA 242: Lozej vs Bittencourt (September 18, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Tyree Overton won
77%Tyree Overton23%Marcelis Edwards
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 57% / 43%
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