Aalon Cruz vs Basel Shalaan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record7-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
78,0"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Darkside MMATeamRebell Egypt
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aalon CruzBasel Shalaan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Basel Shalaan60%
Aalon Cruz 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Basel Shalaan a 60% favorite over Aalon Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aalon Cruz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1625), separated by just 0 points.
Basel Shalaan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aalon Cruz finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Basel Shalaan 71%.
Aalon Cruz carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.