Combat Edge Intelligence

Aalon Cruz vs Gauge Young

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gauge Young
us

Gauge Young

“Gee Money”

11-4-0LightweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
78,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Darkside MMATeamIgnite Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aalon CruzNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Gauge YoungNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.58
Sig. strikes / min
6.32
39%
Strike accuracy
52%
8.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
59%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
0.75
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aalon CruzGauge Young
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (45%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Gauge Young70%
Aalon Cruz 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gauge Young a 70% favorite over Aalon Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aalon Cruz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1625), separated by just 0 points.

Aalon Cruz finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Gauge Young 64%.

Aalon Cruz carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.