Maheshate12-5-0
Darrius Flowers13-9-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Maheshate won
60%Maheshate40%Darrius Flowers
Combat Edge Model · Full card
Road To Ufc: Shanghai predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on Road To Ufc: Shanghai (August 28, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
9Total bouts
9Frozen forecasts
4Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 9 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
9 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Tre'ston Vines10-4-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
61%Yilizhati Maimaitijiang39%Tre'ston Vines
Ahejiang Ailinuer17-4-0
George Mangos10-1-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · George Mangos won
50%Ahejiang Ailinuer50%George Mangos
Kasib Murdoch8-1-0
Rabindra Dhant11-1-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Rabindra Dhant won
50%Kasib Murdoch50%Rabindra Dhant
Bo Meng24-8-0
Machi Fukuda11-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Bo Meng won
41%Bo Meng59%Machi Fukuda
Takaya Suzuki9-1-0
Joseph Larcinese6-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Takaya Suzuki won
51%Takaya Suzuki49%Joseph Larcinese
Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj12-2-0
Young Jae Song10-2-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj won
41%Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj59%Young Jae Song
Ryo Tajima12-3-0
Chungreng Koren8-3-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Ryo Tajima won
50%Ryo Tajima50%Chungreng Koren
Bo Hyun Park10-3-0
Farida Abdueva8-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Bo Hyun Park won
40%Bo Hyun Park60%Farida Abdueva