Combat Edge Intelligence

Aalon Cruz vs Rolando Bedoya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
78,0"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Darkside MMATeamChute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aalon CruzNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Rolando BedoyaNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.58
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
39%
Strike accuracy
49%
8.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
59%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aalon CruzRolando Bedoya
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
2 (18%)
Submission
3 (21%)
5 (45%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aalon Cruz and Rolando Bedoya within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.

Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Aalon Cruz finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.

Aalon Cruz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.