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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs Dan Stittgen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Aaron  Phillips
us

Aaron Phillips

“The Alaskan Bull Worm”

9-11-0MiddleweightFFC

1459Average
Dan Stittgen
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Dan Stittgen

“The Anvil”

12-9-0WelterweightCAMMA

1455Average

Tale of the tape

9-11-0Record12-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
Champions BJJ AcademyTeamMidwest Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1459
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
Dan StittgenNow 1455
If they win+24→ 1479
If they lose-24→ 1431

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
Not available
Strike accuracy
46%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.42
Not available
Strike defense
37%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.78
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsDan Stittgen
1450150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
4 (44%)
Submission
9 (75%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Phillips56%
Dan Stittgen 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 56% favorite over Dan Stittgen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1455), separated by just 4 points.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Dan Stittgen 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.