Aaron Phillips vs Joe Jordan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-11-0Record48-14-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
Champions BJJ AcademyTeamMiletich Fighting Systems
What's at stake
Aaron Phillips is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joe Jordan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1474
If they lose-17→ 1442
If they win+17→ 1450
If they lose-15→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsJoe Jordan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Phillips57%
Joe Jordan 43%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 57% favorite over Joe Jordan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Aaron Phillips holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1459 to 1433, a 26-point edge.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Joe Jordan 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.