Aaron Phillips vs John Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-11-0Record3-4-3
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight160 lbs
Champions BJJ AcademyTeamLewis
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
If they win+24→ 1487
If they lose-24→ 1439
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsJohn Lewis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Phillips59%
John Lewis 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 59% favorite over John Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Lewis's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1463), separated by just 4 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, John Lewis 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.