Aaron Phillips vs William Macario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-11-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
Champions BJJ AcademyTeamPejor
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
If they win+24→ 1485
If they lose-24→ 1437
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsWilliam Macario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
William Macario52%
Aaron Phillips 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes William Macario a 52% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1461), separated by just 2 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, William Macario 73%.
Aaron Phillips and William Macario share 1 common opponent: Shimon Smotritsky.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.