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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs Zach Light

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Aaron  Phillips
us

Aaron Phillips

“The Alaskan Bull Worm”

9-11-0MiddleweightFFC

1459Average
Zach Light
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Zach Light

“The Lisbon Outlaw”

9-11-0WelterweightS70

1456Average

Tale of the tape

9-11-0Record9-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-ReachUnknown
184 lbsWeight170.4 LBS

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1459
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
Zach LightNow 1456
If they win+16→ 1472
If they lose-16→ 1440

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.83
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.69
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
6.21
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsZach Light
1400145015001550200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
4 (44%)
Submission
4 (44%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Phillips64%
Zach Light 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 64% favorite over Zach Light in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1456), separated by just 3 points.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Zach Light 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.