Aaron Aby vs Ashkan Mokhtarian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-1Record13-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The MMA Academy LiverpoolTeamAustralian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron AbyAshkan Mokhtarian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Aby60%
Ashkan Mokhtarian 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Aby a 60% favorite over Ashkan Mokhtarian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1576), separated by just 5 points.
Aaron Aby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ashkan Mokhtarian enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aaron Aby finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Ashkan Mokhtarian 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.