Aaron Aby vs Fredy Serrano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-1Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'2"
-Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The MMA Academy Liverpool· 1632 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Colombia
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1592
If they lose-12→ 1568
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron AbyFredy Serrano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Aby54%
Fredy Serrano 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Aby a 54% favorite over Fredy Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fredy Serrano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.
Aaron Aby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aaron Aby finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Fredy Serrano 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.