Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Aby vs Phil Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-11-1Record22-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The MMA Academy LiverpoolTeamGym01

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron AbyNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569
Phil HarrisNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.16
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aaron AbyPhil Harris
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
7 (37%)
Submission
13 (59%)
10 (53%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Aby66%
Phil Harris 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Aby a 66% favorite over Phil Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

Aaron Aby enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Phil Harris enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aaron Aby finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Phil Harris 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.