Aaron Brink vs Andrei Arlovski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-27-0Record34-24-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
231 lbsWeight245 lbs
TeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Andrei Arlovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Aaron Brink carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1503
If they lose-7→ 1479
If they win+7→ 1653
If they lose-17→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron BrinkAndrei Arlovski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrei Arlovski81%
Aaron Brink 19%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrei Arlovski a 81% favorite over Aaron Brink in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Andrei Arlovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1486, a 160-point edge.
Aaron Brink enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aaron Brink finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Andrei Arlovski 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.