Aaron Brink vs Lorenzo Figueroa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-27-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
231 lbsWeight223 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Aaron Brink carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1499
If they lose-11→ 1475
If they win+23→ 1525
If they lose-25→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron BrinkLorenzo Figueroa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo Figueroa58%
Aaron Brink 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo Figueroa a 58% favorite over Aaron Brink in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1486, a 16-point edge.
Aaron Brink enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aaron Brink finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.