Aaron Brink vs Sergio Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-27-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
231 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Aaron Brink is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sergio Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1497
If they lose-13→ 1473
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron BrinkSergio Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Martinez58%
Aaron Brink 42%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 58% favorite over Aaron Brink in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Brink's way (48%).
Aaron Brink holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1486 to 1471, a 15-point edge.
Aaron Brink enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aaron Brink finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.