Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Jeffery vs Donte Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record9-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'8"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight209 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTitletown MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron JefferyNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Donte JohnsonNow 1707
If they win+24→ 1731
If they lose-24→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.11
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Aaron JefferyDonte Johnson
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (11%)
7 (41%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson70%
Aaron Jeffery 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 70% favorite over Aaron Jeffery in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Jeffery's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Donte Johnson 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.