Aaron Jeffery vs Joe Doerksen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record51-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCanadian Fighting Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron JefferyJoe Doerksen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Jeffery70%
Joe Doerksen 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Jeffery a 70% favorite over Joe Doerksen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Doerksen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1712), separated by just 2 points.
Joe Doerksen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Joe Doerksen 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.