Aaron Jeffery vs Josh Silveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1667 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Aaron Jeffery is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Josh Silveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1726
If they lose-17→ 1694
If they win+17→ 1698
If they lose-15→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron JefferyJosh Silveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Silveira52%
Aaron Jeffery 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Silveira a 52% favorite over Aaron Jeffery in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Jeffery's way (46%).
Aaron Jeffery holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1681, a 30-point edge.
Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Josh Silveira 80%.
Aaron Jeffery and Josh Silveira share 2 common opponents: Murad Ramazanov and Fabian Edwards.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.