Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Jeffery vs Mukhamed Berkhamov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record17-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight179 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron JefferyNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Mukhamed BerkhamovNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aaron JefferyMukhamed Berkhamov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
1 (6%)
Submission
9 (53%)
7 (41%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Jeffery60%
Mukhamed Berkhamov 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Jeffery a 60% favorite over Mukhamed Berkhamov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1706), separated by just 4 points.

Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Mukhamed Berkhamov 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.