Aaron Jeffery vs Norbert Novenyi Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1667 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron JefferyNorbert Novenyi Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Jeffery56%
Norbert Novenyi Jr. 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Jeffery a 56% favorite over Norbert Novenyi Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1708), separated by just 3 points.
Norbert Novenyi Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Novenyi Jr. 82%.
Aaron Jeffery and Norbert Novenyi Jr. share 1 common opponent: Dalton Rosta.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.