Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Jeffery vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron JefferyNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Roman KopylovNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
89%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aaron JefferyRoman Kopylov
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (41%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Jeffery and Roman Kopylov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1713), separated by just 3 points.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.