Aaron Jeffery vs Ryan Gandra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1667 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFlavio Baiano Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron JefferyRyan Gandra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Jeffery53%
Ryan Gandra 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Jeffery a 53% favorite over Ryan Gandra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Gandra's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.
Ryan Gandra enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.