Aaron Lanfranco vs Tato Primera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record18-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReachTBD
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamTaz Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497
If they win+12→ 1532
If they lose-12→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1443 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron LanfrancoTato Primera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tato Primera60%
Aaron Lanfranco 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tato Primera a 60% favorite over Aaron Lanfranco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Lanfranco's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1520), separated by just 1 points.
Tato Primera enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aaron Lanfranco finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tato Primera 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.