Aaron McKenzie vs Kody Steele
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-1Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73.5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
BattleGrounds MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
If they win+24→ 1683
If they lose-24→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron McKenzieKody Steele
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kody Steele66%
Aaron McKenzie 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kody Steele a 66% favorite over Aaron McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron McKenzie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1659), separated by just 2 points.
Aaron McKenzie enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Aaron McKenzie finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kody Steele 75%.
Aaron McKenzie carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.