Aaron Phillips vs Bobby Escalante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record5-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsBobby Escalante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bobby Escalante56%
Aaron Phillips 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bobby Escalante a 56% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Phillips's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1499), separated by just 3 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Bobby Escalante 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.