Aaron Phillips vs Nolan Ticman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record4-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsNolan Ticman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nolan Ticman55%
Aaron Phillips 45%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nolan Ticman a 55% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1507), separated by just 5 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Nolan Ticman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nolan Ticman 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.