Aaron Phillips vs Pablo Alfonso
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record9-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsPablo Alfonso
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Phillips57%
Pablo Alfonso 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 57% favorite over Pablo Alfonso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1497), separated by just 5 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Pablo Alfonso enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Alfonso 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.