Aaron Phillips vs Sam Sicilia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record18-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach67,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamSikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Sam Sicilia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Aaron Phillips carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1493
If they lose-12→ 1461
If they win+9→ 1581
If they lose-15→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsSam Sicilia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Phillips52%
Sam Sicilia 48%Elo baseline: 36%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 52% favorite over Sam Sicilia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Sicilia's way (36%).
Sam Sicilia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1572 to 1473, a 99-point edge.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sam Sicilia 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.