Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs Sebastian Polanco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record3-3-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamDemon Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Sebastian PolancoNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.51
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
0.86
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
44%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.57
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsSebastian Polanco
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (33%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Phillips58%
Sebastian Polanco 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 58% favorite over Sebastian Polanco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1502), separated by just 0 points.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Sebastian Polanco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Polanco 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.