Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs Shane Mullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record1-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamFight Academy Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.51
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsShane Mullen
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (100%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Mullen60%
Aaron Phillips 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 60% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Phillips's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1500), separated by just 2 points.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.