Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs Teruto Ishihara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-14-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Teruto IshiharaNow 1508
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
53%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
44%
Strike defense
54%
0.86
Takedown avg.
0.50
50%
Takedown accuracy
17%
44%
Takedown defense
31%
0.57
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsTeruto Ishihara
1500155020242025

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (33%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Teruto Ishihara59%
Aaron Phillips 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Teruto Ishihara a 59% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1508), separated by just 6 points.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.