Aaron Phillips vs Walel Watson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record15-15-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamTeam Bodyshop· 1650 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1489
If they lose-16→ 1457
If they win+12→ 1484
If they lose-12→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsWalel Watson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Phillips61%
Walel Watson 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 61% favorite over Walel Watson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1472), separated by just 1 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Walel Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Walel Watson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.