Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Pico vs Austin Bashi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamWarrior Way Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PicoNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
Austin BashiNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.16
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
54%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
45%
Strike defense
49%
6.54
Takedown avg.
7.81
13%
Takedown accuracy
9%
0%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
1.67

Trajectory

Aaron PicoAustin Bashi
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
2 (14%)
Submission
6 (43%)
3 (21%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Pico and Austin Bashi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1704), separated by just 4 points.

Aaron Pico finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Austin Bashi 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.